• Price > $3
• Avg Volume > 500k
• Current Volume > 500k
• Relative Volume > 1.2 (strong activity)
• Change Today < -1% (stock is down at least 1%)
• Price below SMA20
• Price below SMA50
• Beta > 1.5 (high volatility)
• Market Cap (Small or Over)
• Sorted by volume descending
  
  

When bullish news hits and prices drop the market is weak.

When bearish news hits and prices rally the market is strong.

Swing trade ideas:

• Strong earnings reactions
• Stocks that gain at least 8% on at least 3 times their average daily volume
• Finish at 50-day highs, on the day after reporting earnings.
  
  

WHITE FLAGS:

• Share buy-backs, spin offs, debt repayments, and dividend initiations are followed by positive excess returns.

RED FLAGS:

• A rash of IPO’s concentrated in a hot sector is a red flag, e.g., Metaplanet, Natamoto, XXI
• Secondary share issues
• Increases in debt
• Growing bank loans

Uptreding Market — the Russell 2000 (IWM) is trading above its 10-day exponential moving average, which is above its 50-day moving average. Downtrending Market — IWM is trading below its 10dEMA, which is below its 50dma.

• 13 day moving average. 30 Day moving average. Ichimoku.
• Buy when 13 SMA crosses 30 from bottom and both are above ichimoku.
• Sell when 13 crosses 30 SMA from top, both under ichimoku. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, commonly known as Ichimoku, is a technical analysis indicator developed by Japanese journalist Goichi Hosoda in the 1960s. Its name translates to “one-look equilibrium chart,” and it provides a comprehensive view of market momentum, trend direction, and potential support and resistance areas. It offers a more complete picture of the market compared to a simple moving average.

DSO = Day Sales Outstanding A financial metric that measures the average number of days it takes a company to collect payment after a sale has been made. Operating cash flow is only 75% of net income. Healthy companies generate 100% or more.

• When receivables age beyond 60 days, writeoffs are mandatory under GAAP.
• Nortel did this in 2001. Lucent in 2000. Both went to zero.
• The mechanism is identical: circular vendor financing disguised as growth.
• Verify yourself: Check any tech company’s DSO. Above 50 spells doom.

Options

• Sell options that are 7-42 DTE when IV is high
• Buy options 30-180 DTE or longer when IV is low
• Take profits early
• Don’t make it more complicated than that.

CSP:

• It’s a 50-50 rule I use.
• If I capture 50% with more than 50% of time left on clock, I close. If not, I let it ride out b/c I love the stock.